State and local governments, counties, school districts
- They would lose the option of Federal Reserve or Treasury support if they default, file for bankruptcy, or are judged likely to default after Jan 1, 2026 (except for disaster aid).
- They could still receive direct grants or appropriations from Congress, because the bill excludes those from the prohibition.
- Debt restructuring negotiated with federal authorities would be covered by the ban (i.e., the federal government could not restructure or backstop such debt).
Federal Reserve and the Treasury
- They could not use their lending, bond-buying, credit, or guarantee authorities to assist troubled state or local borrowers covered by the bill (except for disaster response).
- Treasury is specifically barred from using general fund revenues or certain borrowed funds to purchase or guarantee those obligations.
Municipal bond investors and borrowers
- This could reduce the possibility of a federal backstop for municipal bonds, which may affect how investors price risk and how easily local governments borrow. The bill does not itself set borrowing rates, but changes the federal safety net available to the market.
Congress and federal budget process
- Congress would still be able to pass appropriations or grants to assist state or local governments because those are carved out of the ban. That means assistance could still be provided, but only through explicit congressional action.
General public / taxpayers
- The bill is designed to limit automatic or agency-led federal bailouts. In practical terms, that shifts fiscal responsibility toward state and local governments or to Congress for any rescue efforts.