FORECAST Act of 2025

Full Title:
FORECAST Act of 2025

Summary#

The FORECAST Act of 2025 directs the Under Secretary at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to improve subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) weather forecasting for temperature, precipitation, and related Earth system variables. It amends existing law to require research on forecast sources and limits, collection and use of Earth system observations, and development of multi-model ensemble forecasts, advanced data assimilation, data management, and verification. The bill calls for faster transfer of research models into operations, use of emerging technologies (including artificial intelligence and unmanned systems), and an Internet clearinghouse to share national and regional S2S forecasts and related information about links to hazards (for example, tornadoes, droughts, hurricanes, fires, floods, heat waves, sea ice, snowpack, and permafrost thaw).

The bill also authorizes funding for NOAA modeling activities and adds a new Weather and Earth System Modeling and Data Assimilation Workforce Innovation Program. That workforce program supports education, scholarships, fellowships, recruitment, and human capital planning for data assimilation and Earth system modeling. It requires annual workforce plans, updates to hiring authorities, the ability to make awards and agreements with institutions of higher education and nonprofits, and a report to congressional committees on program effectiveness.

What it means for you#

  • NOAA would be directed to produce and share usable national and regional subseasonal-to-seasonal temperature and precipitation forecasts through a public online clearinghouse.
  • NOAA would research how those forecasts relate to many types of high-impact weather and environmental conditions listed in the bill.
  • The bill funds modeling work and supports education and training programs (scholarships, fellowships, recruitment) to build a workforce that works on data assimilation and Earth system models.
  • Institutions of higher education and nonprofit organizations may receive agreements or awards to carry out parts of the program.

Expenses#

  • The bill authorizes $28,500,000 to be appropriated to the Under Secretary for each of fiscal years 2026 and 2027 to carry out the amended section on subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasting.
  • It also authorizes "such sums as may be necessary" for related activities under section 102(b)(5) of the Weather Research and Forecasting Innovation Act of 2017 and for the new workforce program.
  • Funds for the NOAA modeling team or affiliated institutions are to support areas including high-performance computing, scientific innovation, management and planning, and external engagement and community efforts.

Proponents' View#

The bill, as written, aims to strengthen NOAA's research and operational capacity for subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasting, accelerate turning research into operational models, expand use of advanced technologies (like AI and unmanned systems), create a public clearinghouse for forecasts, and grow the skilled workforce needed for modern Earth system modeling and data assimilation.

Opponents' View#

No publicly available information.